Russia military expert admits Kremlin miscalculated its strength

Ukraine: Russia 'miscalculated its strength' says Olevich

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Kremlin military leaders have been left humiliated after a Russian commentator lashed out against Moscow’s poor performance in the invasion of Ukraine. During a broadcast on the RT network, Victor Olevich, who is credited as the lead expert at the Centre for Actual Politics, claimed the Kremlin had “miscalculated its strength” prior to the invasion. Discussing calls made to global authorities by Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu, Olevich claimed Russia had been portrayed as “complaining” about its inability to win the war.

Speaking on the Russian broadcast, Olevich declared: “Here is approximately how this all looks: Russian initiated a special military operation, miscalculated its strength and for eight months straight it can’t win.

“At the same time, it’s complaining and getting upset that its opponents – the same countries who want to neutralise Russia, to dismember and destroy it – don’t believe us, don’t support us and aren’t listening.”

He added: “We can be outraged and angry until we turn blue, but it will in no way solve our problems.”

Last week, Sergei Shoigu held calls with his French, British, US and Turkish counterparts, interactions Russian media claim were not initiated by the Kremlin. 

During the conversations, Shoigu made unfounded claims that Ukraine could be preparing to use a “dirty bomb” on its own territory, referencing the possibility of nuclear conflict.

The speculation of a Ukrainian attack comes after Russia lost thousands of kilometres of occupied territory to a well-coordinated Ukrainian counter-offensive operation.

The UK, US and French authorities involved in talks with the Russian Defence Minister have since condemned the “transparently false allegations” made of a supposed “dirty bomb” attack and reiterated their support to Ukraine.

An official statement released by the Foreign Ministers of France, the UK and the US read: “Defence ministers of each of our countries spoke to Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu at his request.

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“Our countries made clear that we all reject Russia’s transparently false allegations that Ukraine is preparing to use a dirty bomb on its own territory. 

“The world would see through any attempt to use this allegation as a pretext for escalation. We further reject any pretext for escalation by Russia.”

The statement affirmed: “We remain committed to continue supporting Ukraine’s efforts to defend its territory for as long as it takes.”

A statement issued by the UK Government confirmed Defence Secretary Ben Wallace had spoken to Shoigu “at the request of the Russian Ministry of Defence.”

The statement reported: “Minister Shoigu alleged that Ukraine was planning actions facilitated by Western countries, including the UK, to escalate the conflict in Ukraine. The Defence Secretary refuted these claims and cautioned that such allegations should not be used as a pretext for greater escalation.”

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Russia doubled down on the “dirty bomb” allegations in a letter submitted to the United Nations on Monday, ahead of a scheduled meeting of the Security Council on the following day. 

In the letter reported by Reuters, Russia’s UN Ambassador Vassily Nebenzia wrote: “We will regard the use of the dirty bomb by the Kyiv regime as an act of nuclear terrorism.”

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky suggested the Russian allegation could be a precursor to a Kremlin plot to launch a similar attack against Ukraine and pin the blame on Kyiv. President Zelensky branded Russia as “the source of everything dirty that can be imagined in this war.”

NATO has backed Ukraine with Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg affirming “NATO allies reject this allegation.”

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